Votul ignora criza
Luni, 01 Decembrie 2008, ora 00:34
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Totusi, avertizeaza financial Times,
candidatii la un loc in parlament au promis cheltuieli mai mari si reduceri de
taxe care ar spulbera boom-ul economiei romanesti.
Analistii romani anticipeaza insa o
atitudine indiferenta atat fata de criza, cat si fata de responsabilitatea
votului, vizibila in absenteism. "Romanii s-au obisnuit sa traiasca bine
in ultimii patru ani, dar asta nu s-a intamplat neaparat din modul cum a fost
guvernata tara, ci datorita finantarilor straine, fie prin investitii directe
creatoare de locuri de munca, fie prin credite, care au alimentat sentimentul
de bunastare. Inainte de 2004 nu le era bine, insa oamenii au inceput sa uite
si nici nu par sa constientizeze ca omenirea, inclusiv Romania, se afla in fata
celei mai mari crize din 1929 incoace. Intesitatea cu care ne va lovi depinde
de cat de bun sau de slab va fi noul guvern care va emana in urma
votului", spune analistul Gabriel Biris.
Intr-adevar pentru o parte a pensionarilor
care au iesit ieri la vot si care reprezinta grosul celor care au votat in
prima jumatate a zile, asteptarile se reduc la respectarea promisiunilor
electorale privind cresterea pensiei si crearea de noi locuri de munca.
"Sunt pensionara, deci nu mi-a afectat criza alegerea. Momentan pensiile
sunt cum sunt. Asteptam sa vedem daca isi indeplinesc promisiunile legate de
pensii", spune Elena, o pensionara de 70 din Bucuresti.
"Cred ca majoritatea celor care s-au
dus la vot nu realizeaza inca implicatiile crizei financiare asupra vietii lor.
Am sentimentul ca lumea e putin constienta de efectele crizei atunci cand vad
cum consumul ramane inca exuberant, cum magazinele sunt pline de oameni",
spune Ionut Dumitru, economist-sef al Raiffeisen Romania.
Tinerii sunt ingrijorati de perspectivele
efectelor crizei financiare internationale asupra economiei, insa au putine
sperante ca oamenii politici le vor rezolva eficient. "Urmaresc evolutia
crizei financiare internationale si ma intreb cum si cand ne va afceta direct,
dar nu am sentimentul ca vreunul dintre candidatii care au concurant pe listele
din circumscriptia mea, inclusiv cei pe care i-am votat, sunt pregatiti sa-i
faca fata", spune Mihai P., un tanar programator de 25 de ani. Analistii
romani avertizeaza insa ca promisiunile partidelor vor fi greu de sustinut,
deoarece perspectivele economiei sunt incerte si chiar cele mai optimiste estimari
anunta un declin puternic al cresterii PIB-ului. Perceptia despre Romania,
influentata masiv de agentiile de rating, este negativa, avertizeaza
economistul sef al Raiffeisen Bank Romania, ceea ce va avea ca efect imediat
scumpirea finantarilor de care va avea nevoie Romania.
"Cei care vor fi alesi trebuie sa faca
repede guvernul, pentru a reconstrui increderea investitorilor, a arata ca
Romania are o administratie responsabila. Perceptia despre Romania este foarte
negativa in strainatate, judecand dupa toate articolele din marile ziare, de la
The Economist pana la Wall Street Journal si e vorba de economie acum, nu de
starea drumurilor", spune Dumitru.
Analistii mai spun ca noul guvern nu va
avea la dispozitie multi bani pentru a onora promisiunile, deoarece deficitul
bugetar se va adanci, in timp ce incasarile statului vor fi mai mici.
Sursa: Business24